2004 United States presidential election in Nebraska
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| Turnout | 67.1% (of registered voters) 60.0% (of voting age population) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County Results
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| Elections in Nebraska |
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 Government |
The 2004 United States presidential election in Nebraska took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose five electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. However, this state is one of the two states of the U.S. that, starting in the 2004 election, instead of giving all of its electors to the winner based on its statewide results, just two of them vote based on the statewide results, and the others vote based on their individual congressional district results.
Nebraska, a rural Great Plains state, is a Republican and conservative stronghold. Voters here gave an overwhelming victory to George W. Bush, who received more than twice the number of votes of his challenger, John F. Kerry. Bush who carried the state in 2000 increased his margin of victory, from 29% (2000) to 33% in 2004. Bush carried every congressional district, and every county except substantially Native American Thurston County which Kerry won by a narrow 2.43 percent margin.
With 65.9% of the popular vote, Nebraska would prove to be Bush's fourth strongest state in the 2004 election after Utah, Wyoming and Idaho.[1] This is the last time anyone won Nebraska with more than 60% of the vote.
Predictions
[edit]There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]
| Source | Ranking |
|---|---|
| D.C. Political Report | Solid R |
| Associated Press | Solid R |
| CNN | Likely R |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R |
| Newsweek | Solid R |
| New York Times | Solid R |
| Rasmussen Reports | Likely R |
| Research 2000 | Solid R |
| Washington Post | Likely R |
| Washington Times | Solid R |
| Zogby International | Likely R |
| Washington Dispatch | Likely R |
Results
[edit]| Presidential Candidate | Running Mate | Party | Electoral Vote (EV) | Popular Vote (PV)[3] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George W. Bush of Texas (incumbent) | Richard Cheney of Wyoming (incumbent) | Republican | 5 | 512,814 | 65.90% |
| John Kerry of Massachusetts | John Edwards of North Carolina | Democrat | 0 | 254,328 | 32.68% |
| Ralph Nader of Connecticut | Peter Camejo of California | By Petition | 0 | 5,698 | 0.73% |
| Michael Badnarik of Texas | Richard Campagna of Iowa | Libertarian | 0 | 2,041 | 0.26% |
| Michael Peroutka of Maryland | Chuck Baldwin of Florida | Nebraska | 0 | 1,314 | 0.17% |
| David Cobb of Texas | Pat LaMarche of Maine | Green | 0 | 978 | 0.13% |
| – | – | Write-ins | 0 | 931 | 0.12% |
| Róger Calero of New Jersey | Arrin Hawkins of New York | By Petition | 0 | 82 | 0.01% |
By congressional district
[edit]Bush won all three congressional districts.[4]
| district | Bush | Kerry | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 63% | 36% | Doug Bereuter |
| Jeff Fortenberry | |||
| 2nd | 60% | 38% | Lee Terry |
| 3rd | 75% | 24% | Tom Osborne |
By county
[edit]| County[5] | George W. Bush Republican |
John Kerry Democratic |
Ralph Nader By Petition |
Michael Badarnik Libertarian |
Michael Peroutka Nebraska |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 9,233 | 69.49% | 3,791 | 28.53% | 132 | 0.99% | 37 | 0.28% | 48 | 0.36% | 45 | 0.34% | 5,442 | 40.96% | 13,286 |
| Antelope | 2,761 | 80.64% | 613 | 17.90% | 27 | 0.79% | 11 | 0.32% | 7 | 0.20% | 5 | 0.15% | 2,148 | 62.73% | 3,424 |
| Arthur | 240 | 90.23% | 24 | 9.02% | 2 | 0.75% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 216 | 81.20% | 266 |
| Banner | 379 | 86.73% | 56 | 12.81% | 1 | 0.23% | 1 | 0.23% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 323 | 73.91% | 437 |
| Blaine | 301 | 88.79% | 38 | 11.21% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 263 | 77.58% | 339 |
| Boone | 2,309 | 79.76% | 546 | 18.86% | 20 | 0.69% | 6 | 0.21% | 10 | 0.35% | 4 | 0.14% | 1,763 | 60.90% | 2,895 |
| Box Butte | 3,396 | 65.92% | 1,657 | 32.16% | 55 | 1.07% | 11 | 0.21% | 19 | 0.37% | 14 | 0.28% | 1,739 | 33.76% | 5,152 |
| Boyd | 911 | 79.36% | 228 | 19.86% | 5 | 0.44% | 3 | 0.26% | 1 | 0.09% | 0 | 0.00% | 683 | 59.49% | 1,148 |
| Brown | 1,426 | 82.29% | 268 | 15.46% | 13 | 0.75% | 4 | 0.23% | 19 | 1.10% | 3 | 0.18% | 1,158 | 66.83% | 1,733 |
| Buffalo | 14,222 | 76.43% | 4,100 | 22.03% | 154 | 0.83% | 57 | 0.31% | 35 | 0.19% | 40 | 0.21% | 10,122 | 54.40% | 18,608 |
| Burt | 2,349 | 64.04% | 1,272 | 34.68% | 23 | 0.63% | 9 | 0.25% | 6 | 0.16% | 9 | 0.25% | 1,077 | 29.36% | 3,668 |
| Butler | 3,016 | 72.36% | 1,068 | 25.62% | 53 | 1.27% | 6 | 0.14% | 15 | 0.36% | 10 | 0.24% | 1,948 | 46.74% | 4,168 |
| Cass | 7,763 | 67.33% | 3,619 | 31.39% | 80 | 0.69% | 27 | 0.23% | 11 | 0.10% | 29 | 0.25% | 4,144 | 35.94% | 11,529 |
| Cedar | 3,387 | 74.67% | 1,083 | 23.88% | 43 | 0.95% | 7 | 0.15% | 11 | 0.24% | 5 | 0.11% | 2,304 | 50.79% | 4,536 |
| Chase | 1,652 | 83.73% | 302 | 15.31% | 7 | 0.35% | 8 | 0.41% | 2 | 0.10% | 2 | 0.10% | 1,350 | 68.42% | 1,973 |
| Cherry | 2,509 | 82.48% | 483 | 15.88% | 28 | 0.92% | 9 | 0.30% | 12 | 0.39% | 1 | 0.03% | 2,026 | 66.60% | 3,042 |
| Cheyenne | 3,791 | 79.88% | 893 | 18.82% | 32 | 0.67% | 10 | 0.21% | 13 | 0.27% | 7 | 0.15% | 2,898 | 61.06% | 4,746 |
| Clay | 2,543 | 76.21% | 743 | 22.27% | 31 | 0.93% | 6 | 0.18% | 8 | 0.24% | 6 | 0.18% | 1,800 | 53.94% | 3,337 |
| Colfax | 2,589 | 71.26% | 990 | 27.25% | 40 | 1.10% | 3 | 0.08% | 6 | 0.17% | 5 | 0.14% | 1,599 | 44.01% | 3,633 |
| Cuming | 3,330 | 76.57% | 966 | 22.21% | 29 | 0.67% | 6 | 0.14% | 6 | 0.14% | 12 | 0.28% | 2,364 | 54.36% | 4,349 |
| Custer | 4,518 | 80.51% | 1,040 | 18.53% | 24 | 0.43% | 14 | 0.25% | 11 | 0.20% | 5 | 0.09% | 3,478 | 61.97% | 5,612 |
| Dakota | 3,526 | 53.30% | 3,027 | 45.76% | 31 | 0.47% | 9 | 0.14% | 12 | 0.18% | 10 | 0.16% | 499 | 7.54% | 6,615 |
| Dawes | 2,809 | 70.33% | 1,119 | 28.02% | 38 | 0.95% | 10 | 0.25% | 7 | 0.18% | 11 | 0.28% | 1,690 | 42.31% | 3,994 |
| Dawson | 6,149 | 77.29% | 1,728 | 21.72% | 45 | 0.57% | 20 | 0.25% | 10 | 0.13% | 4 | 0.05% | 4,421 | 55.57% | 7,956 |
| Deuel | 820 | 77.87% | 222 | 21.08% | 5 | 0.47% | 3 | 0.28% | 2 | 0.19% | 1 | 0.09% | 598 | 56.79% | 1,053 |
| Dixon | 2,028 | 67.40% | 938 | 31.17% | 22 | 0.73% | 7 | 0.23% | 7 | 0.23% | 7 | 0.23% | 1,090 | 36.22% | 3,009 |
| Dodge | 10,716 | 66.26% | 5,250 | 32.46% | 116 | 0.72% | 46 | 0.28% | 24 | 0.15% | 20 | 0.12% | 5,466 | 33.80% | 16,172 |
| Douglas | 120,813 | 58.34% | 83,330 | 40.24% | 1,462 | 0.71% | 641 | 0.31% | 253 | 0.12% | 572 | 0.28% | 37,483 | 18.10% | 207,071 |
| Dundy | 858 | 81.48% | 186 | 17.66% | 4 | 0.38% | 4 | 0.38% | 1 | 0.09% | 0 | 0.00% | 672 | 63.82% | 1,053 |
| Fillmore | 2,314 | 72.47% | 828 | 25.93% | 27 | 0.85% | 9 | 0.28% | 9 | 0.28% | 6 | 0.19% | 1,486 | 46.54% | 3,193 |
| Franklin | 1,277 | 74.50% | 412 | 24.04% | 11 | 0.64% | 6 | 0.35% | 5 | 0.29% | 3 | 0.18% | 865 | 50.47% | 1,714 |
| Frontier | 1,160 | 79.07% | 275 | 18.75% | 14 | 0.95% | 8 | 0.55% | 6 | 0.41% | 4 | 0.27% | 885 | 60.33% | 1,467 |
| Furnas | 1,950 | 79.04% | 492 | 19.94% | 16 | 0.65% | 3 | 0.12% | 4 | 0.16% | 2 | 0.08% | 1,458 | 59.10% | 2,467 |
| Gage | 6,575 | 63.32% | 3,655 | 35.20% | 82 | 0.79% | 28 | 0.27% | 21 | 0.20% | 23 | 0.22% | 2,920 | 28.12% | 10,384 |
| Garden | 970 | 81.99% | 201 | 16.99% | 9 | 0.76% | 2 | 0.17% | 1 | 0.08% | 0 | 0.00% | 769 | 65.00% | 1,183 |
| Garfield | 806 | 79.25% | 196 | 19.27% | 12 | 1.18% | 1 | 0.10% | 1 | 0.10% | 1 | 0.10% | 610 | 59.98% | 1,017 |
| Gosper | 890 | 79.54% | 222 | 19.84% | 5 | 0.45% | 1 | 0.09% | 1 | 0.09% | 0 | 0.00% | 668 | 59.70% | 1,119 |
| Grant | 352 | 88.89% | 41 | 10.35% | 2 | 0.51% | 1 | 0.25% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 311 | 78.54% | 396 |
| Greeley | 865 | 69.31% | 361 | 28.93% | 15 | 1.20% | 1 | 0.08% | 6 | 0.48% | 0 | 0.00% | 504 | 40.38% | 1,248 |
| Hall | 14,592 | 68.98% | 6,228 | 29.44% | 197 | 0.93% | 41 | 0.19% | 42 | 0.20% | 54 | 0.26% | 8,364 | 39.54% | 21,154 |
| Hamilton | 3,785 | 77.78% | 1,012 | 20.80% | 50 | 1.03% | 4 | 0.08% | 10 | 0.21% | 5 | 0.10% | 2,773 | 56.99% | 4,866 |
| Harlan | 1,467 | 77.33% | 398 | 20.98% | 22 | 1.16% | 2 | 0.11% | 7 | 0.37% | 1 | 0.05% | 1,069 | 56.35% | 1,897 |
| Hayes | 524 | 87.63% | 66 | 11.04% | 2 | 0.33% | 1 | 0.17% | 1 | 0.17% | 4 | 0.67% | 458 | 76.59% | 598 |
| Hitchcock | 1,171 | 78.80% | 296 | 19.92% | 9 | 0.61% | 2 | 0.13% | 8 | 0.54% | 0 | 0.00% | 875 | 58.88% | 1,486 |
| Holt | 4,217 | 81.50% | 894 | 17.28% | 28 | 0.54% | 10 | 0.19% | 19 | 0.37% | 6 | 0.12% | 3,323 | 64.22% | 5,174 |
| Hooker | 392 | 85.03% | 64 | 13.88% | 2 | 0.43% | 1 | 0.22% | 2 | 0.43% | 0 | 0.00% | 328 | 71.15% | 461 |
| Howard | 2,020 | 67.81% | 900 | 30.21% | 34 | 1.14% | 10 | 0.34% | 8 | 0.27% | 7 | 0.23% | 1,120 | 37.60% | 2,979 |
| Jefferson | 2,600 | 64.82% | 1,352 | 33.71% | 29 | 0.72% | 13 | 0.32% | 6 | 0.15% | 11 | 0.27% | 1,248 | 31.11% | 4,011 |
| Johnson | 1,470 | 61.40% | 885 | 36.97% | 25 | 1.04% | 4 | 0.17% | 2 | 0.08% | 8 | 0.33% | 585 | 24.44% | 2,394 |
| Kearney | 2,621 | 77.57% | 707 | 20.92% | 27 | 0.80% | 9 | 0.27% | 4 | 0.12% | 11 | 0.33% | 1,914 | 56.64% | 3,379 |
| Keith | 3,356 | 81.12% | 743 | 17.96% | 24 | 0.58% | 2 | 0.05% | 9 | 0.22% | 3 | 0.07% | 2,613 | 63.16% | 4,137 |
| Keya Paha | 442 | 80.51% | 98 | 17.85% | 5 | 0.91% | 2 | 0.36% | 1 | 0.18% | 1 | 0.18% | 344 | 62.66% | 549 |
| Kimball | 1,491 | 79.44% | 366 | 19.50% | 7 | 0.37% | 3 | 0.16% | 6 | 0.32% | 4 | 0.21% | 1,125 | 59.94% | 1,877 |
| Knox | 3,062 | 72.68% | 1,086 | 25.78% | 38 | 0.90% | 5 | 0.12% | 16 | 0.38% | 6 | 0.14% | 1,976 | 46.90% | 4,213 |
| Lancaster | 69,764 | 56.03% | 52,747 | 42.36% | 1,010 | 0.81% | 324 | 0.26% | 151 | 0.12% | 513 | 0.41% | 17,017 | 13.67% | 124,509 |
| Lincoln | 11,056 | 68.25% | 4,905 | 30.28% | 123 | 0.76% | 38 | 0.23% | 36 | 0.22% | 41 | 0.25% | 6,151 | 37.97% | 16,199 |
| Logan | 357 | 83.22% | 67 | 15.62% | 3 | 0.70% | 1 | 0.23% | 1 | 0.23% | 0 | 0.00% | 290 | 67.60% | 429 |
| Loup | 314 | 81.35% | 68 | 17.62% | 3 | 0.78% | 1 | 0.26% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 246 | 63.73% | 386 |
| Madison | 10,981 | 77.94% | 2,934 | 20.82% | 94 | 0.67% | 26 | 0.18% | 25 | 0.18% | 29 | 0.21% | 8,047 | 57.12% | 14,089 |
| McPherson | 259 | 83.01% | 49 | 15.71% | 1 | 0.32% | 3 | 0.96% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 210 | 67.30% | 312 |
| Merrick | 2,771 | 75.77% | 833 | 22.78% | 30 | 0.82% | 5 | 0.14% | 10 | 0.27% | 8 | 0.22% | 1,938 | 52.99% | 3,657 |
| Morrill | 1,755 | 76.54% | 495 | 21.59% | 20 | 0.87% | 10 | 0.44% | 7 | 0.31% | 6 | 0.26% | 1,260 | 54.95% | 2,293 |
| Nance | 1,237 | 71.46% | 459 | 26.52% | 19 | 1.10% | 3 | 0.17% | 9 | 0.52% | 4 | 0.23% | 778 | 44.95% | 1,731 |
| Nemaha | 2,595 | 69.85% | 1,066 | 28.69% | 30 | 0.81% | 10 | 0.27% | 5 | 0.13% | 9 | 0.24% | 1,529 | 41.16% | 3,715 |
| Nuckolls | 1,884 | 76.24% | 541 | 21.89% | 23 | 0.93% | 7 | 0.28% | 9 | 0.36% | 7 | 0.28% | 1,343 | 54.35% | 2,471 |
| Otoe | 5,018 | 67.94% | 2,275 | 30.80% | 47 | 0.64% | 16 | 0.22% | 11 | 0.15% | 19 | 0.26% | 2,743 | 37.14% | 7,386 |
| Pawnee | 986 | 66.49% | 481 | 32.43% | 5 | 0.34% | 3 | 0.20% | 5 | 0.34% | 3 | 0.20% | 505 | 34.05% | 1,483 |
| Perkins | 1,285 | 82.48% | 262 | 16.82% | 5 | 0.32% | 4 | 0.26% | 2 | 0.13% | 0 | 0.00% | 1,023 | 65.66% | 1,558 |
| Phelps | 3,872 | 81.64% | 830 | 17.50% | 18 | 0.38% | 7 | 0.15% | 10 | 0.21% | 6 | 0.13% | 3,042 | 64.14% | 4,743 |
| Pierce | 2,824 | 83.11% | 546 | 16.07% | 14 | 0.41% | 7 | 0.21% | 3 | 0.09% | 4 | 0.12% | 2,278 | 67.04% | 3,398 |
| Platte | 11,130 | 79.57% | 2,657 | 19.00% | 107 | 0.76% | 30 | 0.21% | 26 | 0.19% | 37 | 0.26% | 8,473 | 60.58% | 13,987 |
| Polk | 2,146 | 78.69% | 549 | 20.13% | 21 | 0.77% | 2 | 0.07% | 8 | 0.29% | 1 | 0.04% | 1,597 | 58.56% | 2,727 |
| Red Willow | 4,129 | 78.53% | 1,055 | 20.06% | 40 | 0.76% | 14 | 0.27% | 11 | 0.21% | 9 | 0.17% | 3,074 | 58.46% | 5,258 |
| Richardson | 2,924 | 68.35% | 1,297 | 30.32% | 27 | 0.63% | 9 | 0.21% | 12 | 0.28% | 9 | 0.21% | 1,627 | 38.03% | 4,278 |
| Rock | 740 | 83.81% | 130 | 14.72% | 8 | 0.91% | 2 | 0.23% | 2 | 0.23% | 1 | 0.11% | 610 | 69.08% | 883 |
| Saline | 3,071 | 55.17% | 2,420 | 43.48% | 38 | 0.68% | 10 | 0.18% | 13 | 0.23% | 14 | 0.25% | 651 | 11.70% | 5,566 |
| Sarpy | 40,163 | 68.85% | 17,455 | 29.92% | 334 | 0.57% | 200 | 0.34% | 65 | 0.11% | 117 | 0.20% | 22,708 | 38.93% | 58,334 |
| Saunders | 6,441 | 67.88% | 2,884 | 30.39% | 84 | 0.89% | 28 | 0.30% | 23 | 0.24% | 29 | 0.31% | 3,557 | 37.49% | 9,489 |
| Scotts Bluff | 10,378 | 72.12% | 3,843 | 26.71% | 84 | 0.58% | 30 | 0.21% | 27 | 0.19% | 28 | 0.19% | 6,535 | 45.41% | 14,390 |
| Seward | 5,353 | 70.76% | 2,114 | 27.94% | 49 | 0.65% | 11 | 0.15% | 19 | 0.25% | 19 | 0.25% | 3,239 | 42.82% | 7,565 |
| Sheridan | 2,136 | 82.19% | 430 | 16.54% | 16 | 0.62% | 11 | 0.42% | 2 | 0.08% | 4 | 0.15% | 1,706 | 65.64% | 2,599 |
| Sherman | 1,072 | 65.25% | 541 | 32.93% | 19 | 1.16% | 6 | 0.37% | 4 | 0.24% | 1 | 0.06% | 531 | 32.32% | 1,643 |
| Sioux | 677 | 83.68% | 123 | 15.20% | 4 | 0.49% | 4 | 0.49% | 1 | 0.12% | 0 | 0.00% | 554 | 68.48% | 809 |
| Stanton | 2,159 | 78.65% | 559 | 20.36% | 14 | 0.51% | 3 | 0.11% | 5 | 0.18% | 5 | 0.18% | 1,600 | 58.29% | 2,745 |
| Thayer | 2,075 | 72.10% | 764 | 26.55% | 18 | 0.63% | 5 | 0.17% | 10 | 0.35% | 6 | 0.21% | 1,311 | 45.55% | 2,878 |
| Thomas | 378 | 85.14% | 60 | 13.51% | 4 | 0.90% | 1 | 0.23% | 1 | 0.23% | 0 | 0.00% | 318 | 71.62% | 444 |
| Thurston | 1,154 | 48.35% | 1,212 | 50.78% | 14 | 0.59% | 2 | 0.08% | 3 | 0.13% | 2 | 0.08% | -58 | -2.43% | 2,387 |
| Valley | 1,801 | 75.32% | 564 | 23.59% | 13 | 0.54% | 3 | 0.13% | 5 | 0.21% | 5 | 0.21% | 1,237 | 51.74% | 2,391 |
| Washington | 7,083 | 71.19% | 2,754 | 27.68% | 53 | 0.53% | 38 | 0.38% | 7 | 0.07% | 15 | 0.15% | 4,329 | 43.51% | 9,950 |
| Wayne | 2,971 | 72.73% | 1,059 | 25.92% | 24 | 0.59% | 10 | 0.24% | 11 | 0.27% | 10 | 0.24% | 1,912 | 46.81% | 4,085 |
| Webster | 1,403 | 70.08% | 557 | 27.82% | 15 | 0.75% | 4 | 0.20% | 7 | 0.35% | 16 | 0.80% | 846 | 42.26% | 2,002 |
| Wheeler | 366 | 80.79% | 81 | 17.88% | 5 | 1.10% | 1 | 0.22% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 285 | 62.91% | 453 |
| York | 5,393 | 79.34% | 1,304 | 19.18% | 48 | 0.71% | 14 | 0.21% | 17 | 0.25% | 21 | 0.31% | 4,089 | 60.16% | 6,797 |
| Totals | 512,814 | 65.90% | 254,328 | 32.68% | 5,698 | 0.73% | 2,041 | 0.26% | 1,314 | 0.17% | 1,991 | 0.26% | 258,486 | 33.22% | 778,186 |
| Democratic Hold Gain from Republican | Republican Hold |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ "2004 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
- ^ "Archived copy". dcpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 21, 2010. Retrieved October 23, 2022.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - ^ "2004 Presidential General Election Results – Nebraska". Dave Leip’s U.S. Election Atlas.
- ^ "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project".
- ^ "NE US President Race, November 02, 2004". Our Campaigns.
